NMST has a few players that can score and they are averaging 77 points per game. They have enough talent to stay in this game and they are covering most of their games and have also returned over 60% of their production this season. Dayton is 2-1 ATS versus Division 1 teams. This team hasn’t really blown anyone out yet and these two mid majors can compete with each other in a competitive game. Dayton has fallen from 27 to 43 in the Pomery ratings since the beginning of the season and this is also a look ahead spot for them.

Best bet: take the points with New Mexico State.