The Bengals' offensive line is not an elite pass protection unit and has failed to keep QB Joe Burrow upright so far in his career. The Browns have players who will look to make Burrow's life difficult by getting in his face on Sunday. New Cleveland DC Jim Schwartz hopes to turn up the intensity with chaos-causing schemes that will pay dividends in week one.

Deshaun Watson is entering his first full season at the helm of a potentially explosive offense. The Browns have a great running game with workhorse back Nick Chubb and a fantastic WR group. The Bengals are a middle-of-the-pack defense attempting to replace two starting safeties in 2023. The bail out the pass defense, the Bengals need a better pass rush after recording the fourth-fewest sacks in 2022. I'm not betting on that switching on a dime in week one.

Burrow is 1-4 SU vs. Browns compared to 28-15-1 SU vs. all other teams. Cleveland was in eight games decided by one possession in 2022 and won just two of those outings. I believe they'll have better fortune on Sunday at home — take the Browns to win SU at +125 odds!