I'm betting on the Army ML at plus odds.

The Owls allowed 179 yards on the ground to Michigan State and gave up 150 rush yards per game last year. Army offensive coordinator Cody Worley has tweaked the offense, implementing more formational wrinkles to make the Knights even more difficult to defend. Last week, Army ran for 375 yards at a 6.7 yards-per-carry clip. FAU isn't going to be prepared to defend its unique scheme.

I'm also fading Owls QB Cam Fancher, who was running for his life last week against my Spartans. He had a 9.4 QBR in that game and doesn't have the downfield passing skillset to take shots against the Knights' defense. In his last nine games, has more turnover-worthy throws than big-time throws. I don't trust him to make the right plays in a close game tomorrow, as I expect the game to be low-scoring, with Army running the ball a lot to control the game clock.