The Yankees have not hit left-handers as well as right-handers this season, slashing .234/.331/.387/.717 with a 24.6% K rate. Cole Ragans has a 29.6% K rate, 3.31 xERA, 3.41 xFIP and 3.42 SIERA. NY has three combined previous ABs against him, which also works in his favor. As long as he doesn't walk too many batters, he should navigate the first five innings without taking his team out of the game.

Luis Gil has struggled with walks this season (4.68 BB/9 ratio) and could run himself into trouble against the Royals, who average the fewest runners left in scoring position (3.05 per game) and players left on base (6.05 per game). KC has a low strikeout rate against right-handers (20.6%) and has been on a tear since the All-Star break, scoring 5.1 runs per game. On top of that, the Yankees' bullpen has struggled in the second half of the season, ranking 18th in ERA, 23rd in BB/9 and 27th in home run to fly ball ratio.

I like the value of a wager on the Royals to win straight-up at +130 odds on Wednesday.