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Evansville vs. Bradley (Purple Aces +11.5)
(NCAAB) Evansville vs. Bradley,
Point Spread: 11.50 | -102.00 Evansville (Away)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 11.50 | -102.00 Evansville (Away)
Result: Loss
The Purple Aces, 10-3-1 ATS overall and 5-2 ATS on the road this season, will cover on Wednesday.
Evansville is a much higher-tempo team than Bradley, something I feel works in its favor as 11.5-point dogs. It can control the pace for at least a portion of the game, making it challenging for the Braves to pull away. The Purple Aces share the ball (15.0 assists per game) and shoot 64.9% at the rim, where they attempt over 40 percent of their shots.
Bradley's offense will need to show up to put the Purple Aces away, and given its struggles at the free-throw line (66.7 FT%), I'm not sure it's efficient enough to do so. Evansville isn't a great defensive team, but it averages seven steals per game, doesn't foul too much, and holds its opponents to 42.0 percent shooting overall. That should be enough to cover as double-digit underdogs in a conference game!
Evansville is a much higher-tempo team than Bradley, something I feel works in its favor as 11.5-point dogs. It can control the pace for at least a portion of the game, making it challenging for the Braves to pull away. The Purple Aces share the ball (15.0 assists per game) and shoot 64.9% at the rim, where they attempt over 40 percent of their shots.
Bradley's offense will need to show up to put the Purple Aces away, and given its struggles at the free-throw line (66.7 FT%), I'm not sure it's efficient enough to do so. Evansville isn't a great defensive team, but it averages seven steals per game, doesn't foul too much, and holds its opponents to 42.0 percent shooting overall. That should be enough to cover as double-digit underdogs in a conference game!
