Betting Trends: The under is 85-64-1 (57%) in road games in Mike Tomlin's coaching career, including 55-27-1 (67%) since 2015.

Washington's offense looks electric, but the caliber of opposing defenses that it played can't be overlooked. It also lacks talent at the skill positions outside of Scary Terry, and with RB Brian Robinson and QB Jayden Daniels banged up, they look vulnerable against this stout Steelers defense (2nd in points allowed and 4th in rushing yards allowed).

Washington's defensive metrics are mostly bad and the Steelers are functional, but are they functional enough to push the total over? Russell Wilson (38.7 PFF passing grade under pressure) faces a Dan Quinn-led defense that's fourth in pass rush win rate this season and third in pass defense EPA since week 5. This total looks a few points too high...