FREE
GOPHERS +11.5
(NCAAF) Nittany Lions (PSU) vs. Golden Gophers (MIN),
Point Spread: 11.50 | -108.00 Golden Gophers (MIN) (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: 11.50 | -108.00 Golden Gophers (MIN) (Home)
Result: Win
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Betting Trends: Minnesota is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games and PJ Fleck is 11-5 ATS when his team has ten or more days between games during the regular season.
The Golden Gophers are being overlooked after their loss at Rutgers and the Nittany Lions are being overvalued despite lacking a signature win. Furthermore, PSU hasn't had much competition since falling to Ohio State, beating a Washington team it matched up perfectly against and one of the worst Power Four teams in Purdue. It wasn't exactly dominant in road wins at Wisconsin or USC, either.
The Golden Gophers don't need to run the football (113th in Rush Rate) at the Lions' stout stop unit to move the football, as they rely on the short passing game to move the chains. They have an underrated offensive line that can hold up against the Penn State pass rush, giving the efficient Max Brosmer time to choose wisely.
On the other side of the ball, Minnesota has very good cornerbacks who should ball out against a PSU pass-catching unit that lacks a dominant possession receiver, instead relying on do-it-all tight end Warren. The Gophers are also solid against the run and will only have to account for Kaytron Allen this week, as Nicholas Singleton is sidelined. Besides, I do not believe Penn State has an elite offense, anyway.
Fleck has earned a reputation for getting the most out of less, while James Franklin has deservedly drawn criticism for flopping with top-tier talent. In what should be a slow-paced game featuring two legit defenses, I'm taking Minnesota plus the points.
Betting Trends: Minnesota is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games and PJ Fleck is 11-5 ATS when his team has ten or more days between games during the regular season.
The Golden Gophers are being overlooked after their loss at Rutgers and the Nittany Lions are being overvalued despite lacking a signature win. Furthermore, PSU hasn't had much competition since falling to Ohio State, beating a Washington team it matched up perfectly against and one of the worst Power Four teams in Purdue. It wasn't exactly dominant in road wins at Wisconsin or USC, either.
The Golden Gophers don't need to run the football (113th in Rush Rate) at the Lions' stout stop unit to move the football, as they rely on the short passing game to move the chains. They have an underrated offensive line that can hold up against the Penn State pass rush, giving the efficient Max Brosmer time to choose wisely.
On the other side of the ball, Minnesota has very good cornerbacks who should ball out against a PSU pass-catching unit that lacks a dominant possession receiver, instead relying on do-it-all tight end Warren. The Gophers are also solid against the run and will only have to account for Kaytron Allen this week, as Nicholas Singleton is sidelined. Besides, I do not believe Penn State has an elite offense, anyway.
Fleck has earned a reputation for getting the most out of less, while James Franklin has deservedly drawn criticism for flopping with top-tier talent. In what should be a slow-paced game featuring two legit defenses, I'm taking Minnesota plus the points.
