Betting Trends: Orlando is 21-13 ATS as an underdog and Miami is 13-15-1 ATS as a favorite. Orlando sports the best overall ATS record in the NBA (33-17), including the best ATS record on the road (18-10), the best ATS record with equal rest (21-4), and the second-best ATS record vs. conference opponents (20-11). Miami is just 8-15 ATS following a loss and 10-17 ATS with equal rest.

I'm fairly bullish on Orlando's upset odds and feel comfortable taking the 3.5 points in this game. The Heat shot just 41.8 percent overall at home on Sunday, including 8-for-30 from beyond the arc, and now face a Magic team that's 10th in opponent 3PT% and 2nd in steals per game. Tyler Herro will probably play, but Miami will likely be without Duncan Robinson for the fourth consecutive game tomorrow. That won't help a Heat team that's reliant on the three-ball, as Miami ranks 28th in two-point FG%.

The Magic enter Tuesday on a three-game win streak, as Franz Wagner erupted for 38 points on 17-for-25 shooting on Sunday. 27 of those points came in the second half of the 12-point win. I'm confident that shooting touch will carry over into Tuesday's game. Orlando will dominate in the paint (54-36 advantage in the last meeting), as Miami ranks 28th in opponent rim FG%, as well.

Don't be surprised if the Magic win outright tomorrow, but take the points for extra cushion.