I really like the value of this total play at +105 odds... Philly's rotation struggled in its opening series, surrendering 21 runs, and faces a Reds squad that scored 20 runs in their first three games of the year. Cincy slashed .360 BA/.385 OBP/.640 SLG/1.025 OPS vs. Washington's left-handed pitchers and a respectable .258/.332/.418/.750 vs. lefties last season. Phillies SP Cristopher Sánchez gave up 14 homers in 13 home starts in 2023...

The second-year southpaw Andrew Abbott takes the hill for the visiting Reds. While he impressed early in his rookie season, he faded down the stretch (ERAs over 6.00 in August and September). Philly's sluggers should be ready to pounce...

The over is 3-1 in the last four meetings between these teams and they combined for at least eight runs in six straight. The over is 445-436-58 at Citizens Bank Park since 2012, tied for the fifth-highest over winning percentage in MLB. I'll bet that it's the winning wager again on Monday evening!