This spread is too high considering the Clippers could win this game straight-up...

I expect Kawhi Leonard to play more loosely in his second game back and LA to get out to a much better start offensively early in game three. They should dominate the Mavs inside, relying on Ivica Zubac (20 points and 15 rebounds in game one and 13-12 in game two). I expect him to be more of a focal points tonight. Defensively, the Clippers have held Dallas to less than 100 points in both outings, so it's really about their offense joining the party. Even with their offensive struggles in game two, LA lost by only three.

This isn't a must-win game for the Clippers, but losing it would put them in a tough spot. With that said, I feel 4.5 points is generous!