Betting Trends: The under is 27-19-2 (58.7%) when the Athletics are road underdogs and 25-17-3 (59.5%) when the Phillies are home favorites. The under is also 14-9-1 (60.9%) in Oakland's interleague games and 46-30-3 (60.5%) when it plays with no rest.

I prefer a wager on the total at 9.5 in tomorrow's Oakland-Philadelphia game.

The A's average just 3.3 runs per game on the road and scored 3.2 runs per game in June. They aren't fighting for a playoff spot and aren't familiar with any pitchers they're likely to face in this series. With a hometown kid on the mound and an elite group of relievers behind him, they're likely to score two or three runs on Saturday.

The Phillies have firepower, but will they carry the total to ten runs mostly on their own? I don't see that happening. Philadelphia averaged only 4.5 runs per game in June and is scoring 4.5 runs this month. Spence isn't electric, but he has allowed two or fewer runs in six of his ten starts. The Athletics' bullpen is solid (11th in ERA), as well.