#386 ASA PLAY 7* ON Minnesota +3 over Michigan, Saturday at 7:30 PM ET - We think the line value is with the Gophers in this game. We have this game power rated to a pick-em. Michigan gets the 3 point bump because of their name value I guess. The Wolverines offense is a complete unknown coming into the season and will be a work in progress. Their new starting QB Milton has thrown 11 passes in his college career. He’ll be operating behind a brand new offensive line that lost 4 of 5 starters from last season. They also lost their top 2 WR’s Black and Collins. Minnesota, on the other hand, is one of the most experienced offenses in college football. They averaged 34 PPG last year and bring back nearly everyone including QB Morgan who led the Big 10 in passing YPG last season. He’ll be operating behind an offensive line that brings everyone back and throwing to one of the best WR in the country in Bateman. Both defenses have some question marks this season and while we expect Michigan to be solid on that side of the ball as they always are, let’s not forget this Minnesota defense finished 10th nationally in total defense last year. Again, they have to replace some key players on that side of the ball but so do the Wolverines. Entering the season we’d give Michigan an edge defensively but Minnesota a much larger edge on offense. Let’s also not forget that Minnesota was 11-2 last year and beat the 2nd place team from the Big 10 East (Penn State) along with Auburn in their bowl game. They should feel a bit disrespected being a home underdog in their season opener after their successful run last year. Speaking of home underdog, Minnesota has fallen into that role 36 times since 2007 and they are a money making 23-13 ATS in that spot. We like Minnesota here vs a Michigan team we feel is overrated coming into the season.