#669/670 ASA TOP PLAY ON Under 140.5, VCU @ St Bonaventure, Wed at 5 PM ET - Value here is on the Under according to our numbers. We had this total set at 136 and when it came out at 138 we liked the value. Now that it has been bet up a few more points the UNDER now is a play on for us. VCU likes to play fast and when they face off with opponent that would prefer to play at a quick tempo, they’ve had some high scoring games. They are averaging 76 PPG on the season but their numbers are higher than they should be because the majority of their opponents are fast paced. The Rams have played 13 games this season and only 4 of those were vs teams ranked 200 or lower in pace of play. In those 4 games vs slower paced teams, the average combined points scored was 126 and only 1 of those games topped 140. St Bonnies ranks 275th in tempo and they are at home in this game. We’ve found it’s much easier to slow a team down rather than speed a team up. In other words, the slower team usually gets the tempo they prefer. We also have 2 top notch defenses here both ranking in the top 60 nationally in both defensive efficiency and eFG% allowed. The Bonnies have topped 140 just twice this year and they’ve now gone under the total in 5 straight. The Rams have gone under in 5 of their last 6 road games. The last 2 years when these teams have met the totals have been set in the 120’s. Now 140? Someone is going to have to get to 70+ points for this to have a shot at going over and our numbers say neither get there. Take the UNDER.