#636 ASA FREE PLAY ON Ohio State -2 over Illinois, Saturday at 4 PM ET - We are buying low on Ohio State, who has lost 3 straight, and selling high on Illinois who has won three in a row. If you are a situational bettor then this game is right up your alley. The Illini are playing their 3rd straight road game and five of their last six have been away from home, PLUS they are off their BIGGEST win of the season over Michigan. Another indicator we like here is the line move on this game as the Buckeyes opened a 1.5-point favorite and was bet up almost immediately. Looking at the number on this game we see the Illini were just +4.5 points at Wisconsin who we rate lower than Ohio State. The Buckeyes are 5th right now in the Big Ten standing and need a win. The top 4 teams in the Big 10 get a double bye in the conference tourney which makes this game very important for Buckeye Nation. Both teams are top 10 in the nation in offensive efficiency and the Illini are top 10 in DEFF with the Buckeyes ranking 79th in DEFF. Looking inside the numbers though we see OSU much better at home defensively, holding foes to 40.1% shooting, 33.9% from beyond the arc and limiting opponents to just 66.2PPG. Ohio State is 7-1 ATS last 8 off a double-digit home loss. Illinois 0-4 ATS L4 times they have come off a 20+ point win. Ohio State is 37-11 SU last 48 at home +12.8PPG. Since 2018 Illini 15-18 SU on the road -0.3PPG.