#904 ASA TOP PLAY ON 10* New York Mets -120 over Chicago Cubs, Thursday at 7:10 PM ET - While it may seem like there is not a pitching edge here there is, in fact, a "hidden" edge to the Mets. The Cubs are starting Kyle Hendricks and he has been strong over his last 6 starts and 4 of those were on the road where he typically struggles. Though he has had overall success in those recent starts, 2 of the 4 road starts were at Pittsburgh and Detroit which of course are two of the weaker teams in the majors. Despite some recent success, Hendricks is still getting hit at a .290 clip in road starts this season, a .287 clip away from home last season, and a .290 clip in 2019 on the road. While Hendricks is quite hittable away from home as you can see given those numbers, Marcus Stroman of the Mets has been fantastic this season. Also, Stroman is pitching for a Mets team that is now 20-6 in home games after yesterday's 6-3 win dropped the Cubs to 14-20 in road games this season. Stroman has a 2.33 ERA this season and that improves to a 1.88 ERA when he is at home. The Mets are 4-1 in his home starts this season and Hendricks, on the other hand, gave up 6 earned runs in less than 5 innings of work in his last start at New York. The home team is a perfect 6-0 in the 6 meetings between these teams this season. Not only that, the Cubs are overall 3-7 in their last 10 road games. The Mets are 8-2 last 10 games overall and our computer math model reflects a home blowout is likely here. We will grab the home team (and hotter team!) with the "hidden" pitching edge on the mound at a fantastic price on the money line in this one and bet New York Mets -120