#911/912 ASA top play on 10* OVER 12 St Louis Cardinals @ Colorado Rockies, 9:10 PM ET - Contrarian play here. This truly looks like a big number here because, even at Coors Field, recent games have been falling short of this number. However, this one has a different look to it and should result in plenty of runs scored as we have two pitchers likely to struggle here. Wade LeBlanc is with his 3rd team in 3 years and the southpaw has a 6.02 ERA in these 3 seasons including his limited action this year. He has an 8.68 ERA in his last 2 starts at Coors Field. This is unlikely to go well for him as the Rockies had won 4 straight games prior to yesterday's result and Colorado should pound LeBlanc as they bounce back from letting yesterday's game slip away and then getting blitzed in the top half of the 10th frame. Kyle Freeland starts for Colorado and he has a 6.54 ERA this season. In his 17 home starts from 2019 and 2020 he compiled a 7.11 ERA at Coors Field and has now struggled overall again this season. In two career starts against the Cardinals he has a 1.94 WHIP as he has been hit hard by St Louis. Also, Colorado's bullpen ranks dead last in the majors and the Cardinals bullpen ranks in the middle of the pack at 15th. That being said, plenty of runs are likely in this one given all of these key factors. This total is in the 12 range but our computer math model shows this one getting well into double digits in runs scored with each club enjoying success at the plate and, at a minimum having a very strong shot of getting to at least 6 runs apiece which, of course, would mean at least 13 runs (7-6 final at a minimum) in this one. Bet Over