#459 ASA PLAY ON 8* Cleveland Browns +1 over Carolina Panthers, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - We’re getting the much better team, in our opinion and power ratings, at +1 or pick-em here. We have the Browns rated as a 7 point favorite on a neutral field. The Browns are going with Jacoby Brissett at QB which is the only reason we can see why people are leaning Panthers here. To be honest, how much better is Baker Mayfield for Carolina? He’s been pretty average throughout his career and the Cleveland defense should have a leg up here knowing how to defend Mayfield. Beyond that, the Browns are superior at most of the other positions. Brissett has plenty of starting experience (37 career starts) and will operate behind one of the top 5 offensive lines in the NFL. He also has a plethora of weapons and RB, WR, and TE. Carolina, on the other hand, has one of the worst offensive lines in the league after ranking 28th last year in pass blocking efficiency and allowed 52 sacks which also ranked them 28th in the NFL. Mayfield, coming back from a bad shoulder last season, will be running for his life in this game facing a Cleveland defense that ranked in the top 10 last year in sacks per game and was overall one of the top stop units in the league allowing just 5 YPP (2nd in the NFL). The Browns had a +0.4 YPP differential last season and Carolina was -0.5 and not much has changed with the exception of the QB’s. We don’t think that’s a big enough edge for Carolina to be favored (or even pick-em) in this game. Dating back to the middle of the 2019 season, Carlina has been favored just 13 times and they’ve covered just 3 of those games. Head coach Matt Ruhle’s overall record since taking over in Carolina is just 10-23 SU. Cleveland wins on Sunday.