#482 ASA PLAY ON 8* Seattle +7 over Denver, Monday at 8:15 PM ET - Denver QB Russell Wilson makes his way back to Seattle for his debut for the Broncos. While we expect Wilson to do very well in Denver, this is his first game under a brand new system and he didn’t take a snap in the preseason. It’s going to take some time for Denver, under new head coach Hackett, to gel on both sides of the ball. Hackett has never been a head coach prior to this season and both his offensive coordinator and defensive coordinator have never held those positions for any NFL team. Just a very inexperienced coaching staff and dangerous to lay a full TD on the road in the first game as they learn on the fly. Seattle will start Geno Smith at QB and he was 3-0 ATS last year when stepping in for an injured Wilson. The Seahawks did lose those 3 games SU, however Smith had them in position to win all 3. They lost by 3 on a late FG vs New Orleans, lost in OT vs Pittsburgh, and were within 6 points of Super Bowl Champion LA Rams with under 30 seconds remaining (lost by 9). He’s a veteran with 7,000 yards passing and if he can avoid the big mistakes, Seattle will have a shot to win this one at home (one of the top home fields in the NFL). Seattle is 63-23 SU their last 86 at home while Denver is 11-21 SU on the road since 2018. We realize those numbers are with Wilson at QB but the fact is Seattle is a tough place to play and Denver is not used to winning games on the road. Opening week Monday Night dogs have been big time money makers going 39-19-1 ATS since 1980. Too many unknowns for the Broncos to be laying a full TD on the road here. We’ll take Seattle and call for a close game.