Situational Dominator MLB
(MLB) Phillies (PHI) vs. Cardinals (STL),
Money Line: 102.00 Cardinals (STL) (Home)
Result: Win
#956 ASA PLAY ON St Louis Cardinals +100 over Philadelphia Phillies, Friday at 8:15 PM ET - This is a very tough scheduling spot for Philadelphia. The Phillies had the only evening game yesterday at Atlanta and that game got delayed by rain plus then went 11 innings. So it was a very late night for Philly and, making matters worse, they lost the game in the bottom of the 11th after taking the lead in the top of that frame. They had to then fly to St Louis for this game while the Cardinals were comfortably at home resting after their series in Pittsburgh wrapped up already the day before with an early afternoon game against the Pirates Wednesday. Not only does this scheduling situation strongly favor St Louis, the starting pitching match-up does as well. Aaron Nola is off to a slow start for the Phillies this season and he also is well-known for being a much tougher pitcher at home at Citizens Bank Park compared to on the road. This season Nola is 0-2 with a 6.35 ERA and over the last 6 seasons from 2019 to 2024 Nola's road ERA averaged about 1.50 runs higher on the road compared to at home. The Cardinals starter here is Andre Pallante and he is off to a solid start to this season and coming off a respectable 2024 as well. In 2023 when he was used as a reliever, he was much better at home than on the road and his entire MLB career has been here in St Louis so far. He likes pitching here and it sure looks like Pallante and the Cardinals, in this series opener, are catching the Phillies at the perfect time for a solid home win. Last season Philly won 2/3 of their games at home but only 1/2 their games on the road. St Louis is already 4-2 at home this season and was 7 games over .500 at home last season. We are going with the money line at a great value in this one and we expect a solid home win Friday!