Stephen Nover Free Friday Play
(MLB) Toronto vs. Minnesota,
Money Line: -108.00 Minnesota (Home)
Result: Loss
Perhaps the most shocking development of the baseball season is the Astros owning the best record in the American League at 30-18.




But right up there in the surprise department are the Twins. They are tied with the Royals for the second-best record in the AL.




Minnesota has achieved this by owning the best home record in the league and being a major league-best 15-5 versus left-handed starters. Both of those factors are at work in this matchup.




The Twins draw southpaw Mark Buehrle and a Blue Jays squad that is 1-7 in its last eight road games, including dropping their last five. Toronto also has lost seven of the past eight times Buehrle has started on the road against an opponent with a winning mark.




The 36-year-old Buehrle has a 5.13 ERA. Hitters are batting .312 against him. The Twins are averaging five runs per game this month.




Minnesota is on a five-game win streak and has won seven of its last eight. The Twins have won 12 of their past 14 games at Target Field and 19 of their last 26 there.




A key here is can Twins starter Trevor May be trusted? He has a 3.99 home ERA compared to 6.91 on the road. May hasn't allowed more than three earned runs in five of his last six starts. The right-hander has a 12-to-0 strikeout-to-walk ratio during his past two starts.

(Editor's note: In addition to this free selection, Stephen Nover has his Chalk Play of the Month going today and his Playoff Game of the Year going in Game 1 of the Cavaliers-Warriors series. Stephen has won eight of his last nine baseball plays in the pick to favorite range and is 40-23-1 on his last 64 NBA plays. All of Stephen's plays are guaranteed!)