PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's Mountain West Total of Month
(NCAAF) Air Force vs. New Mexico,
Total: 57.00 | -115.00 Under
Result: Win
Total: 57.00 | -115.00 Under
Result: Win
This has been a high scoring series ever since Bob Davie took over at New Mexico in 2012. The combined score of their matchup during the past three years is 82 points in 2013, 66 in 2014 and 82 last season. Look for that trend to continue in Saturday's game, which is on the fast track of the Cotton Bowl in Dallas.
Early money has been on the under based on the Lobos being without injured starting quarterback Austin Apodaca and their best running back, Teriyon Gibson, who had missed the last two games with a strained hamstring. Apodaca isn't likely to play, but Gibson is expected to play. He ranked No. 1 in average yard per carry before falling out of the rankings due to missing the last two games.
New Mexico leads the nation in rushing. So they aren't so quarterback dependent as other teams. However, the Lobos can't stop anyone giving up 36 points per game, which ranks 107th in the nation. The over has cashed in the Lobos' last seven games.
Air Force is used to seeing option teams. But the Falcons haven't faced a tempo this quick, or a team this speedy. This is what Falcons defensive coordinator Steve Russ was quoted as saying about New Mexico: "They will be, position for position for position, the fastest team we play."
The Lobos put up 47 points and 512 yards against Air Force in last year's game. Only California with Jared Goff then at quarterback has put up more yards on the Falcons during the past 29 games.
Air Force, which has gone over the total in eight of its last nine Mountain West Conference games, is going to score its share of points, too. The Falcons rank in the upper half of the country averaging 33.2 points per contest and 445.2 yards.
New Mexico's defense is horrible? How horrible? The Lobos surrendered 32 points to New Mexico State, 37 to Rutgers 41 to San Jose State and gave up 49 to Boise State midway through the third quarter last week with the Broncos contend then to sit on a blowout lead.
Early money has been on the under based on the Lobos being without injured starting quarterback Austin Apodaca and their best running back, Teriyon Gibson, who had missed the last two games with a strained hamstring. Apodaca isn't likely to play, but Gibson is expected to play. He ranked No. 1 in average yard per carry before falling out of the rankings due to missing the last two games.
New Mexico leads the nation in rushing. So they aren't so quarterback dependent as other teams. However, the Lobos can't stop anyone giving up 36 points per game, which ranks 107th in the nation. The over has cashed in the Lobos' last seven games.
Air Force is used to seeing option teams. But the Falcons haven't faced a tempo this quick, or a team this speedy. This is what Falcons defensive coordinator Steve Russ was quoted as saying about New Mexico: "They will be, position for position for position, the fastest team we play."
The Lobos put up 47 points and 512 yards against Air Force in last year's game. Only California with Jared Goff then at quarterback has put up more yards on the Falcons during the past 29 games.
Air Force, which has gone over the total in eight of its last nine Mountain West Conference games, is going to score its share of points, too. The Falcons rank in the upper half of the country averaging 33.2 points per contest and 445.2 yards.
New Mexico's defense is horrible? How horrible? The Lobos surrendered 32 points to New Mexico State, 37 to Rutgers 41 to San Jose State and gave up 49 to Boise State midway through the third quarter last week with the Broncos contend then to sit on a blowout lead.
