This total is too high. But I understand why the oddsmaker set this total so high. Joe Ross isn't perceived as a good pitcher and Noah Syndergaard is coming off his worst start of the season. The Nationals are swinging very hot bats, too, scoring seven or more runs in nine of their last 10 games.

It's impressive how hot the Nationals' offense is. Syndergaard can halt any attack if he's on his game. Until his last start this past Wednesday against the Cubs, Syndergaard was pitching his best ball of the season posting a 1.82 ERA during his previous eight games before the Cubs bombed him for 10 runs in three innings.

I believe the prideful Syndergaard comes back with a strong performance. He's thrown quality games in eight of his past nine starts. He also has a 2.49 ERA on the season in day action.

While Syndergaard is high profile, Ross is way below the radar. He was so bad earlier in the season that he was sent to the minors. But he's made necessary adjustments and has been very sharp since returning to the big leagues going 3-0 with a 1.05 ERA during his past five starts. The Under is 7-1-1 in Ross's last nine starts. The Mets have been held to two or fewer runs in six of their last 10 games.

The Nationals also have their best reliever, Sean Doolittle, back from injury. Note there is a slight wind blowing out, but it is toward center field.