Kevin Gausman was terrible for the Orioles. He was so bad for the Braves they let him go. The Reds foolishly picked him up and even more foolishly are starting him. 
I'm taking advantage of this by fading Gausman on the road against the Cubs. 
The Cubs are 50-24 at home. They are starting southpaw Cole Hamels. The Reds are 30-45 on the road and 16-21 versus lefty starters. They have lost 68 percent of their last 83 away games when going against a southpaw starter. 
I don't see Gausman changing that trend. He has a 5.83 ERA and an 11.70 ERA in three lifetime appearances against the Cubs, including two starts. 
The Cubs won't have Javier Baez and probably not Anthony Rizzo either. Maybe that's why the lay price isn't higher. The Cubs, though, have excellent depth. They still have plenty of offense with a hot Kris Bryant back in the lineup along with recently added/acquired players Nicholas Castellanos, Ben Zobrist and Jonathan Lucroy.