I don't get the love for Miami here. The Marlins are 3-8 in their last 11 games. They are one game above .500. Tampa Bay is 80-52 and has won eight of its last 10 games.

Yet the Marlins are favored.

Is the pitching matchup so strong in Miami's favor?

No.

It's Aaron Civale and a rested Tampa Bay bullpen versus Sandy Alcantara.

This isn't last season when Alcantara captured the NL Cy Young Award with a 2.28 ERA. He's been pitching better, but he's not dominant like last year. He's 6-11 with a 4.16 ERA.

Civale is one of the more underrated pitchers in baseball. He's 6-3 with a 2.59 ERA. Tampa Bay was idle on Monday.