Stephen Nover's Early Game Discount Run Line Crusher - 11-5 MLB Hot Streak
(MLB) Minnesota vs. Cincinnati,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -107.00 Cincinnati (Home)
Result: Loss
The Twins are a step above the Diamondbacks, Rangers, Pirates, Rangers and Orioles. But only a slight step.

Minnesota is especially bad on the road, losers of 12 of its past 17 away contests.

The Twins, however, managed to pull off a ninth-inning rally to beat the Reds, 7-5, on Tuesday. I don't see a repeat of that happening with a pitching matchup of lefty Charlie Barnes versus Luis Castillo.

Barnes has pitched less than five innings in the big leagues. He's certainly not experienced throwing at Cincinnati's Great American Ball Park, one of the top hitter's stadiums in the majors. The Reds are 12-8 versus lefties this season.

Castillo has turned his season completely around. He was terrible at the start of the season. But since late May, he hasn't given up more than 3 earned runs in any game. He's held opponents to two or fewer runs in nine of his last 12 starts. Castillo has struck out 31 in his last four starts spanning 24 1/3 innings.