The Patriots have been playing great. However, I can't trust inexperienced Mac Jones to outplay Josh Allen in Buffalo especially given the harsh weather elements. Jones hasn't played in this type of cold weather/wind condition before. The Patriots also have some key defensive injuries.

Buffalo has had longer to prepare having played last Thursday. The Bills' offense is most effective when Allen is throwing short to Stefon Diggs, Cole Beasly and his other targets. The Patriots' linebackers are better against the run lacking coverage speed. New England will be missing defensive back Kyle Dugger and defensive tackle Christian Barmore is slowed by a knee injury. The Patriots will have problems dealing with Allen's targets in space.

These teams meet again - on Dec. 26 in New England. That could be the Patriots' time. This is the game Buffalo must have now.