Emotions are sure to run high at Cameron Indoor Stadium as this will be the final home game for MIke Krzyewski at Duke where he's been for the last 42 seasons.

But from a betting standpoint, I find this line to be inflated because of that.

What needs to be kept in mind is that Duke has won the ACC regular season title. The Blue Devils will be the No. 1 seed in the ACC Conference Tournament. What hasn't been determined is who will be the No. 2 seed? North Carolina is in the running for that.

The Tar Heels are in a good place right now emotionally and physically, winners of four in a row. They also have added revenge motivation for an 87-67 humiliating home loss to Duke a month ago. North Carolina was 3 1/2-point underdogs. Now look at the spread. So, yes, I'd say there's line inflation.

North Carolina's guards Caleb Love and R.J. Davis, who together produce nearly 30 points a game, missed a combined seven of eight shots from 3-point range in that game despite having good looks. I'm expecting better shooting from them. They'll be helped by Brady Manek, who is 21-for-39 (54%), from the field in his last three games and has hit eight shots from beyond the arc during this span.

Krzyzewski is going to be honored during a special pregame ceremony. Duke will be fired-up to win for him. But this also could be a distraction along with putting added pressure on the Blue Devils.

Bottom line, this line is inflated because of this. So I'm involved with the Tar Heels.