The Pelicans have been playing tremendous defensive basketball. They've held their last four opponents to an average of 95.5 points. Among the offenses they've shut down during this span are the Lakers, Jazz and Suns.

Denver has been producing at a fairly high-scoring clip lately. But look at the Nuggets' last five foes - Rockets, Thunder, Blazers and Kings twice. Those are bad defenses.

There's a chance the Nuggets won't have Nikola Jokic for a second straight game. He missed Denver's last game with a non-COVID illness. It's a nice bonus for the Under if he's out, but I'm not counting on that.

The Pelicans are going for their fifth straight win, but won't be able to count on getting many 3-pointers. They rank 28th in 3-point accuracy. Denver is 12th defensively and No. 2 in 3-point defense.

The Under is 9-1-1 in New Orleans' last 11 games. The Under has cashed the past six times these two teams have met in Denver.

Expect another Under winner in today's matchup.