No need to overthink this. This should be a loose game between two bad teams, who are facing bad starting pitchers and horrendous bullpens.

I certainly can envision double-digit runs being scored in a starting matchup of Bryse Wilson (2-8, 6.11 ERA) versus Mike Minor (4-10, 5.70 ERA). Minor has pitched better lately, but he's still well below average. Wilson has a 6.85 ERA during his last five starts.

The Reds are tied for the highest bullpen ERA. The Pirates have the fourth-highest bullpen ERA.

The teams are playing at a hitter-friendly park with the blowing out to left at nearly 10 mph. Bad news for southpaw Minor, who has surrendered 20 homers in 90 innings.

The Over is 19-9-2 (68 percent) the past 30 times these teams have met.