PREMIUM
Stephen Nover's MLB Saturday Bookie Basher
(MLB) Boston vs. San Diego,
Money Line: 116.00 Boston (Away)
Result: Win
Money Line: 116.00 Boston (Away)
Result: Win
Step aside please, I'm boarding the crowded fade Padres train.
San Diego is 1-8 in its last nine games and 1-5 the past six times being favored. The Padres are minus injured Manny Machado and have one of the worst offenses in baseball. Not only are they last in batting average and 26th in runs, but they are batting .196 with runners in scoring position. No team in baseball history has finished with a batting average of less than .200 with runners in scoring position for an entire season.
Boston, by contrast, ranks in the top three in runs, batting average and OPS.
I'd certainly give an edge to the Red Sox, too, in starting pitching where Chris Sale goes against Joe Musgrove.
Sale is showing signs of returning to his once-dominant form going 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.73 WHIP during his last three starts.
Musgrove is 1-1 with a 6.33 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in four starts. One of those starts was in Mexico City where pitchers didn't stand a chance in that bandbox stadium and high altitude. But even if you discount that start, Musgrove still would have an ERA above 4.00. He's surrendered five homers in 19 innings.
San Diego is 1-8 in its last nine games and 1-5 the past six times being favored. The Padres are minus injured Manny Machado and have one of the worst offenses in baseball. Not only are they last in batting average and 26th in runs, but they are batting .196 with runners in scoring position. No team in baseball history has finished with a batting average of less than .200 with runners in scoring position for an entire season.
Boston, by contrast, ranks in the top three in runs, batting average and OPS.
I'd certainly give an edge to the Red Sox, too, in starting pitching where Chris Sale goes against Joe Musgrove.
Sale is showing signs of returning to his once-dominant form going 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.73 WHIP during his last three starts.
Musgrove is 1-1 with a 6.33 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in four starts. One of those starts was in Mexico City where pitchers didn't stand a chance in that bandbox stadium and high altitude. But even if you discount that start, Musgrove still would have an ERA above 4.00. He's surrendered five homers in 19 innings.
