Stephen Nover's NFL Playoff Total of the Year - 9-3 NFL Totals Run
(NFL) Kansas City vs. Buffalo,
Total: 45.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
While I don't expect there to be nearly the number of combined points there were in the two recent previous playoff games between these teams - 62 in the 2020 season AFC title game and 78 in the 2021 season divisional round game - I do believe there will be enough points produced to push this game safely Over the total.

Unlike last week, weather won't be a major concern. No snow, high wind or excessive cold. Temperatures are projected to be in the mid-20s.

Josh Allen is playing at a high level and he won't be holding back on his running. Allen accounted for four touchdowns in the Bills' 31-17 wild-card round victory at home against the Steelers. Allen threw three TD passes and rushed for 74 yards and a TD. The last time the Chiefs faced an above average offense on the road was back on Dec. 3 when they surrendered 27 points to the Packers.

I'm expecting a big performance from Patrick Mahomes, too.

It's taken all season, but the Chiefs finally have found a consistent wide receiver to go with dependable tight end Travis Kelce. That receiver is rookie Rashee Rice, who in his last two games has caught 13 passes for 257 yards.

Mahomes can exploit a terribly banged-up Buffalo defense that has a cluster injury problem at both linebacker and in the secondary. The Bills already were down their best linebacker, Matt Milano, and top cornerback, Tre'Davious White. Buffalo then lost four more defensive regulars against the Steelers, including leading tackler Terrel Bernard, cornerback Christian Benford and nickelback Taron Johnson.

The Bills may not have their starting punter either as Sam Martin is dealing with a hamstring injury.

Note, too, the short point spread. So there's a stronger than normal chance of overtime.