The wind blowing out to left and two pitchers with a bad history against their respective opponents put me on the Over in this matchup.

Red Sox starter Kutter Crawford has an 8.64 career ERA in two starts against the Royals. Crawford has a much higher ERA (4.05) when pitching at home this season. The Royals are averaging 7.5 runs during their past four games.

Royals starter Seth Lugo has a 5.40 lifetime ERA against Boston in three appearances. Before running up against Cole Ragans on Friday night, the Red Sox were averaging six runs per game in their last nine games.