Stephen Nover's WNBA Total of the Week - 70% WNBA Totals Run
(WNBA) Dream (ATL) vs. Aces (LV),
Total: 166.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Win
The Aces have 10 games to get things turned around. They are 2-5 in their last seven games. The two-time defending WNBA champions offense has been there, but their defense has regressed. It's a problem Aces coach Becky Hammon is well aware of.

Hammon has been trying different combinations, but her bench is not good. I see the Aces increasing their defensive intensity in their first game back from a three-game road trip. Hammon still needs to find the right mix from her reserves. So the Aces' second-stringers, most of whom are deficient offensively, should see their share of minutes here.

Atlanta is a top-five defensive team, but lacking offensively. The Dream are averaging 75.6 points in their last 11 games. This is their third game in five days - all at different locations. So the Dream could have tired legs, which would hurt their scoring.

Note the Dream won't have Tina Charles today. She's out for personal reasons. Charles is the Dream's third-leading scorer at 14.6 points per game and is their top field goal percentage shooter. There's a huge drop in offense from Charles to reserve Nia Coffey.

The Dream does not want to get into an up-tempo game with the Aces. Instead they will slow the pace down and use Coffey and three reserves to aggressively try to guard A'ja Wilson inside.