Stephen Nover's Unbeaten NFL Back The Chalk
(NFL) Saints (NO) vs. Cowboys (DAL),
Point Spread: -6.00 | -110.00 Cowboys (DAL) (Home)
Result: Loss
I'm embarrassed to say I had the Panthers last week. The Saints buried Carolina, 47-10. But the good thing about that is it sets up this game at a value price.

The Cowboys are much better than New Orleans yet the line is below a touchdown. Dallas is at home, too, where it has won 16 straight regular-season games.

Dak Prescott averaged 309 yards passing and nearly three TD passes per game with only three interceptions during the Cowboys' eight regular-season home contests last season. New Orleans is likely to be missing its top cornerback, injured Marshon Lattimore.

But even a bigger takeaway is Dallas' huge edge in the trenches. The Cowboys have top-10 offensive and defensive lines. The Saints have bottom-caliber offensive and defensive lines. New Orleans could be minus its starting offensive left tackle and Derek Carr is not nearly as accurate when under a heavy pass rush, which Dallas is sure to bring.

The Cowboys are a top-five NFC team. I regard the Saints as below average with a terrible coach, less than stellar skill position talent, a bad offensive line and an aging overrated defense that is going to get exposed here.