Regression is starting to come to the surprising Royals. They've dropped four of their past five games and lost second baseman Michael Massey to a back injury.

Quietly, the Padres have won seven of their last nine series. I like them to win the opener of this series with Dylan Cease opposing Michael Wacha.

Cease is having a strong bounce back season for the Padres after being acquired from the White Sox. Cease is 4-0 with a 2.45 ERA in away games this season. Wacha isn't in his class and he's facing a Padres team that has the fourth-highest batting average in the majors.