The Oilers lack the Panthers' Stanley Cup Championship Series experience. The Panthers have the superior goaltending with Sergei Bobrovsky and are the better 5-on-5 team. They've gone against stronger goaltending in the playoffs, too.

Home ice can't be discounted either with the Panthers' getting the last line change. The Oilers only were 21-20 on the road during the regular season. I don't trust them for this opening game of the finals being the road team.