Going OVER the total here. Reds have gone over in 11 of their last 13. This team packs a lot of pop, with 5 players crushing 20 or more HRs this year. And another going to get their with 17. Teheran has been terrible this year at home sporting a 1-8 record in 12 starts and 7.07 ERA as opposing hitters are hitting nearly .290 off him. Robert Stephenson has pitched primarily in the pen as this is just his 4th start of the year, 18th total appearance. You can say, well, his 6.64 ERA is skewed from a bad start. Not really. 5 in 5.1, 3 in 4.2 and 1 in 5.2 isn't really get hammered. In 4 of his 13 relief spots he gave up 3,5,4 and 7. 11 walks in his 3 starts over those 15+ innings. Those will help put runs on the board. 10 HRs in just 42 innings. 1.79 WHIP. This game should be at 10 runs by the 5th inning. 4* Total Money OVER Reds/Braves