Going OVER the total here. And how can we not? Homer Bailey has an ERA of 14.33 in 4 home starts. He has given up 6,8,2,10 in those 16 innings. I would normally say, hey, he gave up 6 runs and 5 walks in his last start against these same Chicago Cubs. He will be better this time around. Well he did that while striking out 10 in 5+ innings. So when he wasn't striking out a guy he was walking one and then giving up an RBI. He has gone over 100 pitches in 2 straight. He only had 69 in a 3rd August start because he gave up 10 runs 3.1 innings. 18 runs, all earned in his last 3 games, 14 innings, 14 walks and 18 Ks. A 2 + WHIP and a BAA of over .355! On to Lackey who has been at least a little respectable compared to Homer. 7-5 4.85 ERA 12 road starts isn't awful. Reds have gone over in 12 of their last 15. These series went over 3 of 4 barely a week ago with 2 games pushing across 20 and 23 runs. Maybe this is one of those, well it looks to easy games. So be it. I am on board. 4* Total Money OVER Cubs/Reds