The Citrus Bowl play is on Florida. Game 265 at 1:00 eastern. This should be one of the lowest scoring games of the bowl season as both teams have top defenses. SEC Dogs off a loss are 14-5 ats off a loss vs an opponent off a loss. BIG 10 Favorites off a loss of 10 or more are 2-8 to the spread. Favorites that allowed 35+ points like Michigan are 0-11 ats vs teams who allow less than 22 points per game and are off a spread loss. New Years day Favorites that allowed 5+ touchdowns last out have failed to cover 16 of 22 times. Bowl dogs like the Gators off a conference championship loss win over 85% straight up vs a team off a loss of more than 7 points. Finally Bowl teams with a new coach are winless straight up and ats off a loss of more than 24 points.. With a close game anticipated. The Points are the play.