The Sun Belt championship side is on Texas St. Game 888 at 1:00 eastern. Texas state comes up roses on the simulation models and really should be favored by a few here as the 4 seed. They have won and covered 5 of the last 6 in the series and won both meetings this year by 4 points. Troy is 3-12 vs teams who allow 65 or less and 0-3 ats the last 3 in this role. Texas St is peaking at the right time and just smoked a much tougher team in 1 seeded UT. Arlington by 21. Take Texas St in this one