On Friday the N.L. Central Play is on the Cincinnati Reds. Game 952 at 7:10 eastern. The Reds fit a sold Never lost system here tonight that is super rare having only applied 7 times since 2004. The Irony being that it was active in the Atlanta win last night. The system is winning by an average 3 runs per game and plays on home favorites like the Reds that are off a home loss and had 4 or less hits, vs an opponent that comes in off a road favored loss like Pittsburgh does here tonight. The Reds are trying to catch the Pirates in the stand ins as these two code out their season in this series. The Reds are 10-0 at home off a home loss since 2008 vs an opponent off a loss. They have won 4 of 5 this year at home in games where the posted total is 7 or less. The Reds also have the pitching advantage with Homer Bailey who has a 10-5 career record with a 2.69 era vs the Pirates. Bailey is 9-5 at home this year and takes on A.J. Burnett tonight. Burnett has lost 11 of 15 on the road this year and allowed 5 runs and 10 hits in 5+ innings in his start here this year. Based on the Systems angles and pitching we will back the Reds in the opener tonight.