PREMIUM
RV: EARLY NFL TRIPLE PACK 2 5* PLAYS AND 8 SYSTEMS
(NFL) Arizona vs. Jacksonville,
Point Spread: 10.00 | -130.00 Jacksonville (Home)
Result: Loss
Point Spread: 10.00 | -130.00 Jacksonville (Home)
Result: Loss
1.5* Baltimore. Game 413 at 1:00 eastern. The Ravens are 15-5 vs winning teams. The have several power angles and system to support them here. The Ravens are 8-0 ats vs an opponent that has more wins and 7-0 ats vs teams who allow 4.5 yards per rush or more. They are 6-2 in the series. Defending Super bowl winners are cashing 80% at 16-4 if they are under .500 in games after October. The Ravens have a shut down defense against the run and are a strong passing team both of these factors play against the Bears who are 1-12 ats at home off a home game. The Ravens are a live dog here today.
2. 5* Jacksonville. Game 420 at 1:00 eastern. One of he better home dog roles throughout history has been the home dog off a road dog win scenario. Even a system that has played against these home dogs historically has reversed itself. The last 5 home dogs at +3 or more to win as a road dog of +10 or more have all won straight up. Road favorites like Arizona off a home favored win by 3 or less points and ats loss vs an opponent off a road win are 6-17 straight up. Another solid system in this one is to play against teams that have covered 3 of the last 4 have win percentage from .500 to .600 and are playing a team with a win percentage of less than .250 as they have failed to cover 31 of 39 times. The Jags are 14-3 ats at home off a road win and 12-3 ats as a home dog and spread win of 10 or more. Finally teams who garnered their first win of the season in week 7 or later have been money of late covering 11 of the last 12 the last 8 years. We will back Jacksonville today.
3- Oakland. Game 417 at 1:00 eastern. 4* Oakland is 12-2 ats in November off 2+ losses. Houston is 1-8 Ats at home vs an opponent off a road loss. Non division road dogs from 7-10 have covered 39 of 49 if both teams are off non division losses. Home favorites like the Texans that played on the road in Overtime last week and lost are 2-7 ats the last 4 years, All road teams in November that are off a road loss are 69-30 ats long term. Oakland has a strong running game and even with Coach Kubiak calling the plays from the press box, Oakland should stay within the number here as Houston has too many injuries to lay this amount of points. Oakland won here the last time they were here, are 3-1 vs AFC South teams and have covered 4 of 5 as a road dog in this range while Houston is 0-3 ats as a favorite. Oakland is the play here.
2. 5* Jacksonville. Game 420 at 1:00 eastern. One of he better home dog roles throughout history has been the home dog off a road dog win scenario. Even a system that has played against these home dogs historically has reversed itself. The last 5 home dogs at +3 or more to win as a road dog of +10 or more have all won straight up. Road favorites like Arizona off a home favored win by 3 or less points and ats loss vs an opponent off a road win are 6-17 straight up. Another solid system in this one is to play against teams that have covered 3 of the last 4 have win percentage from .500 to .600 and are playing a team with a win percentage of less than .250 as they have failed to cover 31 of 39 times. The Jags are 14-3 ats at home off a road win and 12-3 ats as a home dog and spread win of 10 or more. Finally teams who garnered their first win of the season in week 7 or later have been money of late covering 11 of the last 12 the last 8 years. We will back Jacksonville today.
3- Oakland. Game 417 at 1:00 eastern. 4* Oakland is 12-2 ats in November off 2+ losses. Houston is 1-8 Ats at home vs an opponent off a road loss. Non division road dogs from 7-10 have covered 39 of 49 if both teams are off non division losses. Home favorites like the Texans that played on the road in Overtime last week and lost are 2-7 ats the last 4 years, All road teams in November that are off a road loss are 69-30 ats long term. Oakland has a strong running game and even with Coach Kubiak calling the plays from the press box, Oakland should stay within the number here as Houston has too many injuries to lay this amount of points. Oakland won here the last time they were here, are 3-1 vs AFC South teams and have covered 4 of 5 as a road dog in this range while Houston is 0-3 ats as a favorite. Oakland is the play here.
