Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Georgia is the only team in this tournament that had a negative goal differential in qualifying. 

- Turkey is 3-1-1 in the last five head to head meetings. 

- Turkey finished first in Group D ahead of Croatia. 

Verdict: The value is on the favorite here.