10* AFC TOTAL OF MONTH (75% FOOTBALL RUN!)
(NFL) Las Vegas vs. Miami,
Total: 45.50 | -108.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is a 10* AFC TOM on the OVER Raiders/Dolphins.

Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but I expect those trends to end here finally on Sunday.

Las Vegas is 5-5 and Miami is 6-3.

The Raiders made some changes out of necessity and they've won two straight. They've seen the total go UNDER the number in two straight, but note that Las Vegas has in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last 12 after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row.

The road ahead for the Raiders is a brutal one, with KC, Minnesota and the Chargers at home up next, followed by another game at KC. It's do or die, now or never for the visitors.

Miami has had a week off after its 21-14 loss to KC, but with a week off to prepare and plan, I'm expecting the Fish to keep the foot on the gas offensively from start to finish.

A great situational play on the OVER.

(more analysis avaialble)

Good luck, NP