This is a 10* AFC NON-DIV GOM on the Texans.

Houston is now 6-5 after a tough 24-21 home loss here to Jacksonville last weekend. Previous to that the Texans had won three in a row.

I think the home side gets back on track here this weekend in another tough matchup.

At one point this year the Broncos lost 70-20 to Miami, but now the Broncos enter on a five-game win streak (4-1 ATS.)

It's Denver that's now the over-rated team here. Completely overlooked by the oddsmakers and most of the public to this point, they majority of the early public money sees them backing the "flavor of the week" and grabbing the points.

But Denver is 3-6 ATS in its last nine after five or more SU victories in a row.

Look for Houston rookie CJ Stroud to put the pressure on Russell Wilson and for the home side to eventually pull away for the comfortable win and cover.

The play is HOUSTON.

Good luck, NP