EARLY SITUATIONAL TOTAL - 24-11 (70%) NFL RUN!
(NFL) Baltimore vs. Pittsburgh,
Total: 37.50 | -115.00 Over
Result: Loss
This is an 8* SITUATIONAL TOTAL on the OVER Ravens/Steelers.

It's a big divisional matchup here, and I believe we're going to see a competitive, and ultimately higher-scoring contest than what this O/U line is leading us to believe.

Baltimore is 3-1 so far this year, including 2-0 on the road, while Pittsburgh is 2-2 overall, and 1-1 at home.

The Ravens have played to back-to-back UNDERS, most recently the 28-3 win at Cleveland last weekend. Note though that Baltimore has seen the total go OVER the number in four of its last five after a SU/ATS road victory in which it held its opponent to three or less points in.

Pittsburgh has also seen the total go UNDER in two straight, including in last week's 30-6 loss at Houston as a three-point favorite. Note though that the Steelers have seen the total go OVER the number in three of their last four off a SU/ATS loss as a favorite.

Lamar Jackson has a 4:1 TD:INT so far for the Ravens. He also has a sharp 104.2 QB rating overall. So far Baltimore averages 24.8 PG, while allowing 14.5.

The Steelers behind Kenny Picket are averaging 15.5 PPG. Pickett has thrown four picks so far. Pittsburgh's weakness though has been its defense, conceding 403 yards and an average of 25 PPG to opponents so far.

The last five games between these teams have gone UNDER the number, but I say the situation now points to more of an offensive affair here. The Steelers can't sit back and hope that Baltimore makes the first mistake.

After last week's terrible performance, I look for Pittsburgh to be a lot more efficent in front of the home town crowd.

Ultimatetly, this number is just a bit TOO low by my reckoning.

The play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP