This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GOW on the Falcons.

It's a big game for both teams, but I'll argue a lot more so for the 6-8 Falcons than the 8-6 Colts.

With nearly 75% of the public money on the visiting side, we're going full on contrarian here and going the other way.

Off a 34-14 loss at Cincinnati, the Colts bounced back with an important victory at home over Pittsburgh last week.

It's do or die essentially for the Falcons though after back-to-back divisional losses as a slight favorite. Of course, Atlanta benefits from being in a weak division, but it's "now or never" this weekend.

ATL has in fact responded well in this spot for bettors though, going 8-4 ATS in its last 12 off a SU/ATS divisional loss.

Look for the hungry home side to pull away down the stretch, the play is on ATLANTA.

Good luck, NP