This is a 10* WESTERN-CONFERENCE NON-DIVISION TOM on the OVER Mavs/Kings.

The Mavericks are playing well after four straight wins. That includes a 115-105 win at Utah last night. Dallas has seen the total go UNDER in five straight now, but note that the Mavs have in fact seen the total go OVER the number in eight of their last 12 after playing to five or more straight UNDERS in a row.

This is the start of two straight here in Sacramento between the clubs, and because of that I'm expecting this first one to be faster-paced.

Note as well that Dallas plays with revenge after falling 120-115 to the Kings at home as a 4-point favorite, and note as well that the Mavericks have seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent.

The Kings have won four of their last five. They've also seen the total go UNDER in five straight after their most recent 108-96 home win over Philly. Note though that Sacramento has seen the total go OVER the number in eight of its last ten after a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 99 or fewer points in.

The stage is set for a wide-open shootout between these teams tonight, so the play is the OVER.

Good luck, NP