10* NON-CONF TOTAL OF MONTH: 80% BIG PLAY RUN!
(NCAAF) Blue Devils (DUK) vs. Wildcats (NW),
Total: 38.50 | -110.00 Over
Result: Win
This is a 10* NON-CONF TOM on the OVER Duke/Northwestern.

If each of these teams can score three TD's apiece, then this total will fly OVER this smaller number, and that's what I'm indeed expecting.

Northwestern is off an uninspiring 13-6 win over Miami Ohio. The Wildcats were supposed to be improved offensively, but they came out flat in Week 1. Mike Wright was 18 of 30 for 178 yards, zero TD's and zero INT's. He's a dual threat though that ran for 69 yards and a rushing TD.

While that Northwestern defense looked decent against Miami Ohio, I suspect the home side will have a more difficult time here vs. Duke, which is off the 26-3 win over Elon. Maalik Murphy finished 26 of 40 for 290 yards, two TD's and an INT.

Let's not read too much into either team's defensive performance in Week 1 is the moral of the story here.

Look for each side to make some adjustments coming into Week 2 and for this total to fly OVER the number as the game comes down the stretch.

Good luck, NP