There's big value on an Iowa squad that likely would have likely been favored in this matchup just a few weeks ago. This line is way out of wack just because Penn St is now ranked #12 in the Nation and they have a target on their back and this line is extremely inflated for unjust reasons. Iowa is tough on both sides of the ball and II believe Iowa can stop Barkley. Iowa coming in off a BYE after losing to Wisconsin with 2 weeks to prepare for this game. Iowa still has a ton to play for including a shot at the Big Ten Championship game if they win out. Iowa's head coach Kirk Ferentz is 5-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS the last 6 times he is off a bye in the regular season.

First of all Penn State has allowed 6 of 8 opponents to run for 150 or more yards. Iowa is 26-2 since the 2013 season when they are able to run for over 150+ yards which includes a 5-0 record this season. The three-loss Hawkeyes have underachieved but their rugged style is hard to separate from, and they should perform well as a nice juicy underdog here.